Donald J. Trump is the candidate destined to collect more delegates at the Republican primary elections; the same is true for Hillary Clinton at the democratic ones. This is the verdict of the Super Tuesday 2016, the most important appointment of the primaries because of the 13 states and territories (American Samoa) involved. Specifically, the voters of the following states expressed their preferences: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, while in Alaska and Wyoming only the caucuses of the Republicans were held.
The Super Tuesday of these elections is a day that will probably remain in the annals of American politics as a point of no return for the Republicans, hit by the Trump cyclone. No Republican candidate, in fact, has obtained the same victories in the last few weeks: Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, New Hampshire, Nevada, Virginia, and South Carolina. An unprecedented record from the ’60s till present days, confirmed by the tycoon himself once the first results became known: “It is an amazing night,” Trump said.
There are two possible scenarios in front of the magnate: Winning the 1237 delegates needed to crown him, at the convention in Cleveland in July, as a Republican candidate. Or winning a large share of delegates, but not all of the 1237, then go to an “open convention” where the party establishment will try to steal his victory. The Super Tuesday offered many indications about the internal battle against G.O.P. First of all, Marco Rubio comes out heavily defeated. He managed to win only in Minnesota and lost Virginia, which seemed to be within his reach. Ted Cruz, however, won in “his” Texas and in Oklahoma. The senator might score major victories in conservative states such as Louisiana and Kansas, becoming, at this point the only – even if weak – alternative to Trump.
On the democratic front, the former first lady Hillary Clinton wins but does not stretch the distance between her and Bernie Sanders. Hillary has obtained convincing victories in Southern states, which are rich in delegates, such as Georgia and Texas, with a strong African-American and Hispanic component. Yet, she cannot penetrate the white and progressive strongholds of the other magnate who won in Minnesota, Colorado, Oklahoma and in Vermont. At this point, after the positive results in Nevada and South Carolina, Hillary Clinton’s path towards the nomination seems to be almost clear. But not (almost) granted as it is for the Trump cyclone.