Black September

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The official resumption of the activities by Chamber and Senate deputies has been established on September 8. And there are already people who see that date, in view of the current events, as an presage. In school books, in fact, this day is linked to the armistice signed by Badoglio with the Americans, that threw Italy into chaos. On the parliamentary agendas it represents the resumption of hostilities between the DEM minority and Renzi’s secretariat, between the loyalists of Forza Italia and those who treat with Matteo Salvini’s party, Lega Nord. In short, a new organized chaos, an easy prelude to a black September – obviously from a political point of view – since the time horizon is set by the next local elections planned for next spring. Without forgetting the referendum on the institutional reform, that still needs approval.

This time, to choose the right candidate will be of utmost importance for everyone, beyond all alliances and electoral agreements, considering that ”running forward” dictated by obvious personal ambitions is creating more than just one tension within the parties. And this could reverberate on political activity in the strict sense of the word. On the agenda of the Chamber, after the holidays, there are questions and interrogations, whereas on September 9, they will engage in the debate concerning the legislative decree for gender equality in the representation inside regional councils. And this circumstance is enough for fibrillation to  begin. Of course, the experts consider those points not to be too demanding in order to start the season that it is announced, however, especially in the Senate, as a particularly complicated one, because of the importance of the measures under examination and because of the tensions inside the majority that has always a narrow margin, as well as in the PD group, where the left does not hesitate to make its present felt.

Inside the Senate (where some committees are convened already by next Tuesday and where arrives also the law on Stability), the  main dish is represented by the legislative decree Boschi, the one concerning institutional reforms, burdened by more than 500 thousand amendments presented by Lega Nord, which have kept busy offices during the month of August. The real risk is that the text that abolishes the elective Senate could conclude its path inside the commission without a mandate to the rapporteur and that, therefore, the final game could be played directly in the Parliament.

With the waltz of the numbers, played to the rhythm of the ambushes and transhumance of the senators, bewitched by the sirens of a the possibility to candidate again. The classic awful spectacle that politics never gets tired of showing, despite the political sentiment always creeping among the voters. During the past few days the president of the Senate, Pietro Grasso, has advocated for the need to find a political agreement to avoid the impasse. He preached in the middle of a desert, if we consider the voices heard these days. Still on the palazzo Madama, and especially on the commission for Justice, the spotlight will remain lit for a series of measures of strong social impact, starting with the legislative decree Cirinnà concerning civil unions. The text, even if it is not part of the governmental pact for the admission of all those who are concerned, is a hard challenge for the majority.

Area Popolare, in fact, is far from being abashed and asks for the text to be amended so as to exclude unequivocally the possibility of appealing to the so-called “womb for rent” abroad and the question of reversibility of the pension. All this arouses strong opposition among the centrists.  The mediation proposal of the Ncd coordinator, Gaetano Quagliariello (the use of the womb for rent abroad must be explicitly prohibited and the agreement will be found) has been welcomed by a part of the PD and the same vice president of theDEM senators, Giorgio Tonini, has evoked the need to introduce changes. The one we have just outlined is, therefore, a position war, that does not promise well. It is by chance that the so-called “secular wing” of the Alfanians, with exponents such as Sergio Lo Giudice, keeps  its position. While declaring themselves open to dialogue, they claim to be certain that by the end of the year there will be the final vote.

In Montecitorio, during the commission, the focus will be mainly on the reformation of Rai, as approved by the Senate before the summer break and is to be expected an intense confrontation, even inside the PD, on a governance model that in the opinion of many, does not hold enough discontinuity with the Gasparri Law. There are, then, measures of specific economic nature, such as the legislative decree on competition and the implementing decrees of the PA reform, while there remains strong pressure on the executive for the implementation of the decrees still missing in the Jobs act.

But the real pièce de résistance, as already mentioned, will be the economic manoeuvre , that is announced for a value of about 25 billion. Of course, everyone awaits the tangible proof. The promises on the reduction of the tax on the houses and on work made by the president of the Council, Matteo Renzi. So far, this is the parliamentary framework, which  is already enough to deprive the protagonists of good sleep. But next, there is also the tough political debate itself, the one that sees the DEM minority ready to do whatever it takes in order to run aground in the Senate the executive led by Matteo Renzi, and on the opposition’s field, the ashes hidden under the manoeuvres put in place during this summer by Silvio Berlusconi, that could return to ignite the minds of the people, putting again the movimento azzurro’s back against the wall: with or against Matteo Salvini.

The next administrative elections impose clear field choices, that go beyond tactics.  In short, fasten your seatbelts and hold tight, it will be a really a nice September 8. Or, given the clashes that are looming, the beginning of a black September.

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