The Greek vote – a great test of democracy that cannot be ignored, given the high level of participation – opens the door to a number of scenarios, all possible, some probable and certain other just fruit of imagination. EUR yes or no? In or out of Europe? Reset or debt to the bitter end? Is Europe generous or greedy and short-sighted? Making predictions is difficult, but it is quite clear that though that door now only those plans that will serve to Greece to exit the swamp will pass, rather than the dictates of the EU and Merkel, who is defeated by a vote of Athens along with those who shared strategy, aimed at getting out of the Greek government through referendum. Having said this, the real issue to be addressed immediately, urgently, is another: may this vote trigger a domino effect leading to the polls in other European countries? How much ash is hatching among voters of the countries of the old continent?
Because the victory of the ‘no’ in Greece shows how the anti-Europeanism, particularly the one targeting the German Chancellor, is not only an optical illusion, a play of light and mirrors to be used in the election campaign. It is something more concrete, physical, that the vote of Athens has put on the table. And with what until yesterday was just a stone guest, became a concrete entity that we must face immediately. Actually, we are already late. If after Greece others would follow the same road we’ll be looking at a ravine.
And we are late too, for Italy, according to the choice of the Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, has espoused the cause of Merkel. Palazzo Chigi yesterday evening, with the counting still underway but the results already outlined, said that the prime minister this morning at 9.30 will meet the economy minister Pier Carlo Padoan. On the table, of course, the consequences of the result of the Greek referendum.
That will not be painless at all. For the tenant of Palazzo Chigi is another good fish to fry, as the money are the ones that are and the opposition will not discount anyone. It goes without saying that this vote is not limited only to embarrass Rome. The premier greek Alexis Tsipras and his French counterpart Francois Hollande last night had a first telephone conversation to discuss the plan of international aid. The two leaders would discuss how to “restart negotiations” between Athens and creditors. Hollande, then, should meet today with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, to address the outcome of the vote in Greece. The two heads of state will be seen in Paris and not in Berlin. Another important sign that testifies to the axis may move.
After all, the angry reaction of the Chancellor to the Greek vote is a bad signal that damages more than the crisis itself. If anyone had doubts that the referendum was also an assessment of the Greek government in Berlin, in the words of Merkel has found what he was looking for. Change, now is not only necessary, but also a duty. In short, he wanted to send the car off the track the Greek government, counting on the vote of the referendum, was forced to change course and to review their plans.
It is objective that this vote, beyond the ideological positions expressed by the sides in the field, is likely to produce a kind of miraculous effect on European policy, forcing the EU, and then Germany, to restructure the logical rigor, which has served only to protect the accounts of a few at the expense of many. What is needed now more than ever, is the political unity of Europe and not only the Euro, a glue that has proved somewhat modest.
It will not be easy to induce governments to abdicate various chancelleries and politics in the name of the bell tower of the logic of the United States of Europe. Net of analysis dictated by the interests of the workshop, it is quite clear that a Greece out of the euro and Europe changed the geo-politics of the old continent, opening a strategic flaw in the Balkans, already at great risk. And we know that we can not afford it. For this we need clear answers, net, in order to avoid the inevitable effect emulation Greek vote. We’re not ready and Europe is not ready, rather than EUR …